The Premium Club System is
based on our ratings and uses a set of rules to achieve a
profit target of £100.00.
The Ratings are supplied in an Excel File which can be downloaded
daily. A full explanation of the contents of the files and
rules can be found here. Please note that Excel is required
to view our Premium Club System files.
The
Premium Club Files
The Premium Club Files
are a comprehensive overview of the Day's Racing. They
also include the Calculator required to work
out your investments.
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Click
here for a Sample file |
The Premium
Club requires a Starting Bank of £2,400.00 |
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Remember our system
is based around Dutching (Betting on
more than one runner in each race at
all times)
Remember that you back both selections
to win.
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1:
Your Daily Profit Target is £100.00,
this never changes, it remains at £100.00.
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2:
Your Daily Stop Loss is £600.00.
( approx ) |
If you are in a betting cycle and you
find that the next race would take
you over your stop loss figure, £600.00
then skip that race wait till the
next viable race which is within
your Stop Loss figure
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For
Example |
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3:
From the list select, as a minimum ,
the first six, qualifying, races, to
create your portfolio.
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The number of
runners should not be less than 6,
or more than 14.
Always check for non-runners as they
can often affect the choice of race for
the list.
As a race with 16 runners, for example,
could become a bet race with 2 non-runners.
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For
Example |
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NON
- RUNNERS |
If one of the selections in the Top 2
Rated is a non runner use the TAB "Runners
today" to select the next rated
as a replacement
Sporting
Life is an example of where you can
check
A flat race would have far greater preference
than a long-distance steeplechase.
The intervals between races in your daily
list should also be taken into account,
as you will need time to assess the outcome
of any race when you fail to get a winner,
and then have to follow the betting on
the next race. You should have for at
least 10 minutes minimum between one
race and the next.
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4:
Use the internet, Betfair for example,
to follow the betting on the list of
races and to place the bets. |
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5:
When you are following the market on
any race (other than your original list
races), first check to see if there are
any runners that have a Starting Price
which is equal to or greater than the
examples below |
The statistics tell us that very, very
few horses at 66/1 ( 67.00 ), 100/1
(101.00) or greater odds ever win
a National Hunt race; (the figures
are 33/1 ( 34.00) , 50/1 (51.00)
or greater for Flat races).
If this reduces the number of serious
participants in the race to less than
the recommended maximum of 14, then you
might add the race to your list, assuming
there is time to deal with it and other
rules are met.
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6:
Calculate the stakes required to win
your Daily Target Profit. |
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DO
NOT BET:- |
On those occasions
when a Selection is at very short-odds
(less than 1.67 or 4/6)
If the other horse is also at a price
less than 3.00 ( 2/1)
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DO
NOT BET:- |
If
the combined odds of both Selections
are less than 4.00 ( 3/1), don’t
bet.
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Combined odds are calculated as follows
:-
e.g. exchange Odds
Odds on 1st selection 2.00 is then 2.00
- 1.00 Stake = 1.00
Odds on 2nd selection 4.00 is then 4.00
- 1.00 Stake = 3.00
Therefore the Combined odds are 1.00
x 3.00 = 3.00 anything from there and
above is considered a bet.
If you are uncertain, don’t bet.
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7:
In the event that neither horse won,
add the stake money that you lost to
the Daily Profit Target, calculate your
stakes accordingly. |
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8
: Every time that you fail to get a winner,
continue to accumulate the lost sums
in the next bet, unless you reach your
Stop-Loss.
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SHORT-ODDS
BETTING |
The obvious problem with backing a Selection
to win , for example, £100,
when the available odds are less
than one (“Evens” or
2.00), is that you must invest
more than £100 in the single
bet on that horse alone. Bearing
in mind that you also have to cover
the possibility that the other
Selection will win, and that the
short-odds horse may lose, your
total investment in the race is
greater than normal.
If neither Selection wins, then carry
the losses forward, add another £100
profit target, and start betting on the
next race in the list.
It is very common for the short-odds
favourite (usually in a field of less
than 7 runners) NOT TO WIN.
You should beware on race-days when there
is a consecutive series of small field
races (marked with an S), and your Selections
contain a short-odds favourite. These
circumstances result in a very rapid
build-up of accumulated losses, so be
careful to limit the betting risks.
The clue is NOT TO CONSIDER any Selection
backed down to 2/1- on ( 1.50 ) (i.e.
odds of a half or less), and even if
the odds are betterthan that, you should
consider the odds of the second horse,
and where you are in terms of a losing-run
sequence.
Often the best price you will get during
real-time betting is as soon as the market
odds are declared on whatever website
you are using.
If the price is acceptable then it is
best to place the bet immediately – it
is unlikely to improve as the “off” approaches.
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TWO
and THREE YEAR-OLD RACES - Non-Handicaps |
At the beginning of the Flat Racing Season,
you have insufficient information
to make a judgement on the performance
capability of any two-year-old or
un-raced three-year-old horses. Statistically,
there is no point backing purely
two-year-olds races until August,
since the data prior to then is either
insufficient and/or unreliable. Since
un-raced three-year-olds tend to
crop up at random throughout the
Season, it is impossible to be hard
and fast about when their ratings
become reliable.
However, this is not to say that you
should ignore these races in the early
part of the Season, if you really must
have a bet the Handicappers are fairly
accurate, and so, too, is the movement
in betting. In other words, the runners
carrying the highest weights or a short-priced
favourite in any race, might be worth
backing,only under these circumstances,
when they are the Selections.
As the Season progresses, trainers tend
to experiment by entering horses in races
of varying distance, and this factor
contributes an additional level of uncertainty.
In summary, it is preferable not to include
two-year-olds races until August.
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To be considered as a bet it
must fulfill all three of the following:-
1. Have 50% + of the field run before
- If not? Skip the race
2. Does the race have less than 15
runners. - If not? Skip the race
3. Does the race have more than 5 runners.
- If not? Skip the race
If so then it is a Viable "*" race
This Section is removed from the 1st
of October
To be then be further considered as
a bet the must fulfill three of the
following:-
1. Is the Top Rated carrying Top Weight
2. Is the Top Rated a short priced
Runner ( i.e 1st, 2nd or third Fav
)
3. Is the 2nd Rated carrying Top Weight
4. Is the 2nd Rated a short priced
Runner ( i.e 1st, 2nd or third Fav
)
If so then it is a Viable "*" race
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SMALL
AND LARGE FIELDS OF RUNNERS |
The annotations “S” and “L” are
used to flag the fact that a race has
either a “Small” field of
runners, or what is considered to be
a statistically “Large” field
of runners.
Always keep an eye on the “Non-Runner” situation
of races in your list for the day’s
betting. An eight- or seven-horse race
can quite easily become a smaller field,
when the “Small-Field Effect” will
often come into play.
Always keep an eye on the “Non-Runner” situation
of races in your list for the day’s
betting. An eighteen, seventeen or sixteen-horse
race can quite easily become a smaller
field (marked as a viable race with an
asterisk “*”).
It is not just “Non-Runners” that
you should watch when you are considering
whether to back Selections in a field
of runners which is just on there will
not be the threshold between an “*” and
an “L” – beware of
withdrawn horses, in particular.
The way to spot them is when you are
doing real-time betting, and watching
the progress of the market on any Betting
website – a price available about
a certain horse.
Another factor that you cannot ignore
is the “wisdom” of the market.
The statistics tell us that very, very
few horses at 66/1 (67.00), 100/1 (101.00)
or greater odds ever win a National Hunt
race; (the figures are 33/1 (34.00) ,
50/1 (51.00) or greater for Flat races).
If you are considering a race with 14+
runners, but two or three of the runners
are being quoted at these outsider odds,
then it is reasonable to remove them
from the runner-total.
If one or other of the Selections appears
to be such a rank outsider then you should
discount it and substitute with the next-highest
rated slection in the Forecast for that
race.
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Not
all Horse Racing Systems are the same – Can
Subscribing members be wrong? |
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